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A cure for clinical trials

US pharma companies often miss their deadlines when testing new drugs. The use of marketing techniques to manage the recruitment of patients for clinical trials could speed things up considerably.

Testing new drugs is a costly and frustrating headache for pharmaceuticals companies—and the pain is about to get worse. Clinical trials are at best difficult to manage and dogged by delays, and now the genomics revolution and stricter regulatory standards are compounding the problems. For pharma companies, managing the newly increased demands of clinical trials may become the greatest obstacle to realizing the full benefit of the new health technologies.

Not surprisingly, it is the clinical aspects of these trials that pharma companies concentrate on: making sure that the research methodology or protocol leads to results capable of standing up to the scrutiny of authorities such as the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA). But another crucial element—the recruitment of patients—is often overlooked, causing expensive delays that can drain much of the sales potential from any new drug. More than half of all US clinical trials from 1993 to 1998 missed their deadlines by at least a month (Exhibit 1). A failure to get enough patients in time accounts for 85 to 95 percent of all days lost during clinical trials (Exhibit 2).

 

The fresh opportunities unleashed in the year 2000, when the human genome was finally charted, are set to increase the demand for patients in clinical trials. Drug research focuses on discovering novel targets: the biological mechanisms, usually receptors or enzymes in human cells, through which drugs work. By mapping the genome, scientists have increased the number of potential targets—to as many as 10,000, from about 500—and the R&D costs associated with developing new drugs could double.1 As more new drug targets enter the R&D pipeline, poor recruitment could become a bottleneck, hampering a company's ability to bring new drugs to market expeditiously.

Delays can cost pharma companies at least $800,000 a day in lost sales for a niche medication, such as Amaryl, an oral antidiabetic treatment, and as much as $5.4 million for a blockbuster like Prilosec, a gastrointestinal medication. If some of this revenue is merely deferred, it may be recouped once a drug goes on the market, but millions of dollars in revenue can vanish if a competitor catches up or, worse, gains the advantage with an earlier debut. Delays can also affect a company's valuation, since investors closely watch the progress of new drugs: efficient clinical trials put them on the market more quickly, so they take market share more quickly. Pharma companies may also gain a strategic edge by setting a new standard for treating a disease, and speed to market gives physicians and patients a broader, and potentially lifesaving, choice of treatments in less time.

Finding people for trials is always hard: too many patients don't realize they can participate. Further, deaths and questionable practices in isolated trials have made potential participants wary. Moreover, designers of clinical trials are now seeking more narrowly defined sets of patients, in part to distinguish new drugs from rivals on the market. But the most important problem is regulatory change: over the past decade, the number of patients needed for each FDA approval has almost doubled.2

The pharma industry could therefore create enormous value by more efficiently recruiting participants in clinical trials. Taking a single month off a trial by improving recruitment could generate an additional $40 million in sales for an average drug. But to do so, pharma companies must radically alter their R&D efforts by improving the speed and efficiency of recruitment, and this in turn will streamline the whole clinical-trials process.

Thinking like marketers

To get patients into trials more efficiently, pharma companies must begin to think like marketers. By setting a target for the number of patients needed in a trial, the R&D team in essence creates a sales challenge: to get enough patients to buy the "product"—in this case, participation in the trial. To do that job, companies will have to borrow a few marketing techniques.

Planning for a clinical trial begins with the design of a protocol, which sets out the criteria for patients who can be admitted to the trial, maps the treatment they will receive, and establishes how they will be monitored. In addition, the protocol includes such administrative details as the handling of patient consent and the marketing of the trial. Sites and physicians for the trial are then chosen. Physicians are offered incentives—not only payment for their own time and other expenses but also free equipment, all-expense-paid trips to conferences, and invitations to speak at prestigious events. Physicians and nurses at each certified site get extensive training in the protocol used to administer the trial and in reporting its results properly.

Typically, the final and most crucial phases in the development of a drug

last at least four months and involve 3,000 patients, though the number can vary depending on the disease or ailment targeted. Earlier phases, while also time-consuming, involve fewer patients. Commonly, for every patient enrolled, four to ten must be screened to determine their eligibility. Pharma companies must also plan for unforeseen events to ensure that recruitment is successful even if they occur.

The recruitment of patients for trials generally follows two paths simultaneously: participating physicians recruit suitable people from their own patient lists while pharma companies advertise directly to patients and then pass prescreened lists of candidates on to the physicians.3 The efficiency of both approaches to recruitment can be improved.

Segmenting the physicians

Many companies use a one-size-fits-all approach to recruiting and managing the physicians who participate in clinical trials. But just as some salespeople are better at bringing in customers, some physicians are better at bringing in patients for clinical trials. Although many companies recognize this truth, few have tried to identify and manage the top performers systematically.

The first step for pharma companies is to segment physicians on the basis of how well their pools of patients fit the protocol required by a clinical trial and their success in meeting recruitment targets in earlier ones. A physician whose practice includes a high proportion of targeted patients (people with diabetes, say) could get an above-average recruitment target, greater support, and more attractive incentives. One top US pharma company, for example, discovered that some physicians with superb access to target patients were short of staff to manage the protocols for clinical trials. Providing a part-time nurse to help screen patients increased the rate at which these physicians recruited patients. Another North American clinical trial enrolled 2,000 recruits in 16 weeks—an exceptional pace—because the company focused on its high performers, who had access to the right patients.

Besides segmenting physicians by the number of patients they screen and enroll in a given week and by the number of weeks they take to meet their enrollment targets, pharma companies must track the percentage of patients who pass the initial screenings and complete the trial, for this information permits those companies to develop accurate databases of physicians who have good access to patients, the necessary infrastructure, and the commitment to ensure that enough patients go on to the finish line (Exhibit 3). Starting from scratch, it could take a company years to complete such a database. But improvements in the way companies try to find the physicians most likely to meet their recruitment targets are possible even before the process ends, largely through the steady development of deeper relationships with physicians who consistently deliver high numbers of patients.

Marketing to patients

In general, the efforts of pharma companies to market clinical trials are hardly sophisticated or effective. One company that was testing an arthritis medication, for example, gave participating physicians a budget for local advertising. Instead of buying ads aired during cable television shows viewed by the elderly or marketing the trial directly to them, the physicians purchased space in general-interest local newspapers and got marginal results for the money.

Both the message and the mass media in which it is disseminated must be chosen wisely if marketing money is to be well spent. First, a pharma company must create a clear profile of the target patient, including age, sex, and ethnicity. Parts of this profile might be implicit in the protocol, but a careful demographic analysis will usually make the profile more detailed. Once it is complete, companies need to know how target patients get information about clinical trials and what might serve as an inducement to take part in them.

An example of effective marketing comes from a US company that was researching a drug for Type II diabetes, which disproportionately affects Hispanics. Using focus groups in Hispanic communities, the company set out to learn what would be most likely to motivate these patients to participate in a trial: free medical care, access to more effective treatment, or a chance to help find a cure for a disease. It found that since many patients in the target population lacked health insurance, free medical care and medication had the greatest appeal. With this marketing data in hand, the company's efforts at recruitment—and the trial—proceeded on schedule.

Indeed, segmenting the audience and targeting the groups with the highest value can also guide decisions about how to convey the message. Television spots, ads in local newspapers, and posters at bus stops, for instance, reach different demographic audiences.

Anticipating problems

By quickly recognizing when recruitment is running behind schedule and pinpointing the problem, pharma companies can avoid days of delay. But first—from the beginning of the trial—the companies should develop early-warning systems and contingency plans.

Companies with successful programs for recruiting patients often overbuild from the start, as one company in Latin America did by qualifying more clinics than necessary as trial sites so they could be activated immediately if needed. A European company produced weekly patient-enrollment reports and monitored responses to particular ads. When problems arose, it was able to bolster its advertising and switch to a different approach, since it had already bought options on media slots in markets where it feared it might miss its enrollment targets. In both cases, contingency plans helped these companies stay on course.

Bringing marketers and scientists together

Once pharma companies recognize that marketing skills are essential for bringing enough patients into clinical trials, it becomes obvious that organizational changes linking marketers with R&D are needed as well. Such changes do not mean substituting brash commercialism for scientific standards, but they do require a better understanding of what motivates people to participate in clinical trials.

To focus on recruitment for these trials, a few of the largest and most successful companies have recently established centers of excellence that include employees from clinical development, marketing, and market research. The marketers have insights that were often missing or overlooked when the trials were being designed: a knowledge of consumer behavior and the ability to track the progress of marketing campaigns. Such centers thus help companies complete their studies on schedule.

By contrast, in today's standard approach, the manager of a clinical trial, who has overall responsibility for its success, develops the recruitment procedures. But these managers are evaluated on such criteria as whether the results of a trial stand up to regulatory scrutiny; the timeliness of recruitment plays little if any role. A manager should therefore be put directly in charge of recruitment for clinical trials, and that manager should be evaluated, in large part, on the ability to get sufficient numbers of patients enrolled on time—which resembles the kind of accountability that marketing managers bear. By retargeting a part of the recruitment manager's incentive package, pharma companies can raise the level of accountability for recruitment and counteract the tendency to regard delays as inevitable.

Involving marketers early in R&D also helps ensure that recruitment considerations are included from the outset in the planning for clinical trials. Ideally, the recruitment plan should be based on input from a variety of functions. But many pharma companies, regarding it as unscientific to consider practicalities when they design protocols for clinical trials, don't think, early in the planning process, about recruiting patients. Such a lack of foresight is the harbinger of delays and lost potential.

In one extreme example, a recent trial focusing on the treatment of brain tumors needed patients who had already undergone a rare (and less effective) treatment for their condition. But so few people had gone through this treatment that not enough patients could be found to satisfy the criteria. In another case, the clinical trial for a medication that would be prescribed by general practitioners called for complex screening examinations with equipment that most of them didn't have. Too often, protocols tend to presuppose an ideal scientific setting, and designers include tests or other procedures merely to cover all contingencies. A more thoughtful design, as we have seen in practice, often loosens up the requirements imposed on participating physicians and patients, without sacrificing any scientific credibility. In both of the cases described above, equally rigorous trials could have been carried out using more practical protocols.

Scientific integrity, far from being compromised, is actually enhanced when practical considerations such as the availability of patients and equipment are dealt with realistically. If a highly specific protocol is necessary, pharma companies must be aware of the inevitable constraints. In the final phase of trials for one diabetes medication, for instance, the protocol called for high doses, which were regarded as essential even though only a few patients could tolerate them. By recognizing this problem early, the company could have anticipated the resulting high dropout rate and recruited a larger pool of participants from the outset instead of enduring delays late in the trial.

New technologies such as biomedicine are opening up vast new horizons for the pharma industry, but they can be reached only through meticulous clinical trials. To deliver value, pharma companies must conduct them safely, thoroughly, and expeditiously. These companies can offer the greatest value to patients, physicians, and investors alike by systematically improving every aspect of recruitment. Companies that pursue business as usual face staggering losses. Those that get it right may reap huge rewards.

About the Authors

Janice Cruz Rowe and Randa Zakhary are consultants, Martin Elling is a principal, and Judith Hazlewood is a director in McKinsey's New Jersey office.

The authors wish to acknowledge the contributions of Teri Lawver in developing both the marketing framework described in this article and the article itself.

Notes

1 See Richard C. Edmunds III, Philip C. Ma, and Craig P. Tanio, "Splicing a cost squeeze into the genomics revolution," The McKinsey Quarterly, 2001 Number 2, pp. 15–9.

2 Because of the size of the US market, FDA approval is a crucial step for any new drug. Although the FDA doesn't require that testing be conducted in the United States, most pharma companies will complete at least some tests there to make approval easier.

3 In the United States, advertising for clinical trials is generally allowed if the message isn't misleading. Other countries have stricter regulations, and some countries prohibit direct advertising for this purpose, thus forcing the pharma companies to rely on the efforts of physicians.

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